Excellent view point from Dr Thomas Barnett on his blog site. The topic is China, and he explains why the belief that China has found a “new model”–whereby they can usher in economic reforms (capitalism) but never institute democratic governance–is totally false. An excerpt:
What Mann and others like him don’t get is that democracy in China is beginning–like everywhere else–from below. It is always a bottom-up process. You cannot build a national democracy on a foundation of sand. It must be built–brick by brick–from below.
One million text messages screaming “We want life, we want health!” shuts down construction of a dangerous chemical plant in China. Frankly, that sort of democracy is far more important right now in China that multiparty elections on top.
The case law for China’s future-and-emerging democracy must be written, individual by individual. Yesterday’s torture victims become today’s plaintiffs become tomorrow’s political leaders.
Conclusion: we don’t need to be worried about the rapidly pro-capitalist “Communist” China. They’ll have democracy in my lifetime, and it will come from the bottom up. Their conversion to capitalism sealed this optimistic (and yet realistic) fate, as pro-capitalist reform leads to greater economic connectivity leads to greater proliferation of “subversive” ideas leads to demand for more transparent and more representative governance.
Hence: US foreign policy should change and embrace China as a strategic ally rather than a strategic competitor.